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Ether holds its breath in anticipation of the lean, mean "merge"

Image: Reuters Berita 24 English - The integration is a significant crypto milestone that investors in ether and its problematic sibling stE...


Image: Reuters

Berita 24 English - The integration is a significant crypto milestone that investors in ether and its problematic sibling stETH are anxiously anticipating.

Its purpose is to make the Ethereum blockchain network, which serves as the foundation for many cryptocurrency projects, leaner, meaner, and cleaner.

It evades you. The integration was planned to take place years ago but has been repeatedly postponed. Most recently, developers decided against plans to activate the merger in June, which alarmed investors who started to worry that it would never happen.

However, market participants are now making bets that the wait will soon be over. But it's not a sure thing.

Investors have priced in a 67 percent likelihood that the update, also known as Ethereum 2.0, will materialise by October and a 13 percent possibility by September on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency platform where users can wager stablecoins on the occurrence of future events.

According to the Ethereum Foundation, who compares the merger to upgrading a spacecraft's engine in midflight, the merger will "ship" around "Q3/Q4 2022."

It would be greatly relieving for ether if the integration actually took place since it has fallen due to previous delays and dwindling support for the upgrade. The second-largest cryptocurrency was last trading at roughly $1,200, down from a little over $3,500 in April. However, most of the recent negativity on the upgrade has been masked by larger recent market turbulence.

For investors holding staked ether, or stETH, a cryptocurrency derivative token that symbolises ether locked up in a testing environment for the upgrade and that is difficult to redeem at scale until at least six months after the merge, the merger might also mean the end of an agony.

Still, sceptics persist.

"Simply put, there is too much protocol. Because of how big Ethereum is, I don't believe they'll meet their deadline on time "According to Umee's creator and CEO, Brent Xu, the company is creating a base-layer blockchain for borrowing and lending.

Because the Merge is undoubtedly going to take longer than anticipated, "they are just frightened that their stETH is going to be worth nothing," said Xu.

THE QUAKE OF STEEM

With the upgrade, proof-of-work, which consumes a lot of energy, will no longer be used for ether mining. The new proof-of-stake consensus system will be integrated with Ethereum's current execution layer.

For individuals who own stETH, a cryptocurrency project called Lido's token that may be changed into ether on a 1:1 basis between six and twelve months after the merge occurs, any further delays would be terrible news.

Until then, the market determines the price at which stETH trades, with the majority of transactions taking place on the Curve trading platform.

According to price website CoinGecko, its market valuation rose to $11 billion in May. Up until last month, it traded largely at ether's parity.

However, as cryptocurrency markets fell last month, stETH's value plummeted and it now trades at a discount of about 8% to ether as a result of significant selling by investors like Celsius and Three Arrows, according to available data.

Although the price has somewhat increased, it has not yet reached parity, in part due to the effects of the delayed merge (stETH is now trading at a 4% discount to ether).

Along with other troubled U.S.-based cryptocurrency lenders, stETH has many major investors.

DOES THAT TRADE HAVE ANY TAKERS?

While investors can "stake" their ether to earn income elsewhere, doing so requires a minimum of 32 ether, or around $38,000 at the time of writing, which is why the stETH initiative was so well-liked.

Instead, Lido gave customers the option to bet whichever little ether they desired in exchange for yield and obtain stETH.

Investors in stETH, meanwhile, are getting anxious due to the merge's ongoing delays.

According to Ryan Shea, a cryptocurrency economist at major fintech firm Trakx.io, Curve's liquidity is rapidly running out. Data from the platform shows that Curve's stETH liquidity has more than decreased in half since mid-May.

If you want to sell a significant number of stETH, you will need to find alternate sources, according to Shea, who suggested using stETH as collateral in another lending process.

But whether anyone will be willing to take that trade in this type of environment when people are thoroughly scrutinising crypto loan firms, I don't know.



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